Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 7.587083 8.429475 9.373056 10.517779 11.881965 13.472506 15.492729
2025-01-12 6.076604 7.122087 8.394009 10.089128 12.343955 15.326706 19.733097
2025-01-19 5.259139 6.371744 7.798219 9.822254 12.731612 16.964399 24.041980
2025-01-26 4.770551 5.930574 7.480775 9.796096 13.351858 18.987971 29.613861
2025-02-02 4.624253 5.904826 7.692746 10.516907 15.193437 23.410710 41.530470
2025-02-09 4.424484 5.771448 7.719747 10.944139 16.643948 27.653786 56.083086
2025-02-16 4.160167 5.512389 7.520428 10.963992 17.373245 30.764566 70.657110
2025-02-23 3.992190 5.375076 7.485092 11.241656 18.636277 35.533255 95.736023
2025-03-02 3.706506 5.034064 7.090029 10.827754 18.425202 36.738382 110.045240
2025-03-09 3.484451 4.773620 6.800068 10.563032 18.469276 38.642551 130.913950
2025-03-16 3.315785 4.583711 6.608107 10.452813 18.825780 41.597174 164.179848
2025-03-23 3.238650 4.531966 6.641201 10.773607 20.242358 48.548211 248.942758
2025-03-30 3.032823 4.273032 6.320033 10.402583 20.039865 50.566313 312.411403
2025-04-06 2.834160 4.016544 5.988304 9.982078 19.660776 51.977523 388.996212
2025-04-13 2.679012 3.821325 5.748202 9.719423 19.636335 54.871257 532.655473
2025-04-20 2.572447 3.699470 5.628423 9.693673 20.252448 61.095527 918.787298
2025-04-27 2.571146 3.753607 5.832752 10.403178 23.220735 82.507023 5952.132350
2025-05-04 2.530764 3.737155 5.902771 10.823531 25.516772 105.355408 NaN
2025-05-11 2.447695 3.640364 5.809374 10.843062 26.506015 121.944345 NaN
2025-05-18 2.397530 3.598357 5.818980 11.116182 28.534157 153.848321 NaN
2025-05-25 2.282534 3.433783 5.571913 10.709033 27.850264 157.103056 NaN
2025-06-01 2.189784 3.305179 5.389425 10.448566 27.690361 167.126464 NaN
2025-06-08 2.117852 3.210948 5.270528 10.340104 28.131010 187.427192 NaN